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A recently conducted poll has unveiled an unexpected twist in the potential leadership dynamics of the Conservative Party, challenging popular predictions. Boris Johnson emerges as the preferred replacement leader, gaining a favorable response, especially from the crucial group of uncertain 2019 Conservative voters.

Despite this, the survey suggests that even if the party were to choose this unconventional path, it might not be sufficient to rescue them from electoral challenges. In the poll, voters were asked about their inclination to support the Tories if Kemi Badenoch, suggested by some as an alternative, were to replace Rishi Sunak.

Surprisingly, only six percent expressed an increased likelihood of voting Tory in this scenario, while 13 percent indicated a decreased inclination. In contrast, for Boris Johnson, 16 percent of voters leaned towards supporting the party, while 22 percent were less likely to vote Tory, according to the study commissioned for The Times.

Isaac Levido, the Conservative party election strategist, suggests a potential path to victory lies in winning back approximately half of the 2019 Conservative voters who are now uncertain. Among this group, 35 percent were more likely to support the Conservatives with Boris Johnson at the helm.

However, 20 percent expressed a decreased likelihood of Badenoch assuming leadership, compared to 12 percent who would be more likely. Despite these findings, it appears challenging to sway those firmly supporting Sir Keir Starmer, with almost 90 percent of committed Labour supporters expressing reluctance to change allegiance.

This revelation comes on the heels of a poll initiated by Conservative rebels seeking to evaluate public opinion on an idealized Tory leader. The survey presented a fictionalized Conservative leader who successfully addressed NHS waiting times, reduced legal migration, adopted a stringent approach on small boats, and introduced tax cuts. The results, however, come with cautionary notes from YouGov, emphasizing the need for interpretation.

Notably, the poll was funded by the Conservative Britain Alliance, an anonymous group of donors currently under scrutiny by the Electoral Commission for potential breaches of electoral law. The commission is closely monitoring the situation to determine if registration is necessary, highlighting ongoing concerns in this political landscape.

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